The next era in retail is coming and it may well
involve fewer and smaller stores. The days of the “big box”
stores look to have a diminishing luster to them. Sears has closed
nearly 300 stores since 2010 and that includes their flagship store
in Chicago this coming April. J. C. Penney's, Macy's and Target are
all reducing stores and personnel and this is just the beginning.
There is an indication that there is a shift in the
retail environment and it's one that will continue. According to the
International Council of Shopping Centers, 44 percent of annual store
closings announced since 2010 have occurred in the first quarter.
Will this year's closings indicate or confirm the emergence of a new
trend?
The Internet and online shopping is the usually
identified as the reason for fewer and fewer visits to the local
mall. This past holiday season saw a 12% increase online and around
15% decrease in mall foot traffic, so is the mall concept dying?
"Any
time you stop building a product, that's usually the best indication
that the customer doesn't want it anymore," said Rick Caruso.
You do know that there has not been a new indoor mall built in
America since 2006.
That's not to say there aren't a number of ways to
grow new retail business. Retailers just
need a new approach. An
approach that looks to the lifestyle of its customers. More than
three quarters of retail transactions are still made at brick-and-
mortar locations, but how was your last in-store experience? Did it
involve anything more than you and a transaction device, which may or
may not have been attended to by a cogent individual? Retail is far
more than just a pure transaction
Experts say
that shopping needs to be “an experience”. That experience is
what builds a connection between consumers and a retailer's brand.
Many of us aging “boomers” can still recall the shopping
experiences of old most fondly. Retailers need to lose the boring
physical store experiences .
Technology
Some large
retailers are exploring the technology to track shoppers within the
store itself. There are apps which will send tailored offers to
smart phones as shoppers reach a certain section of the store;
recommending items based on past purchases; or allowing shoppers to
program an automated shopping list. Is there a line between helpful
and creepy, and when does one cross it?
What are
the key factors that determine how much information a shopper is
willing to share? 52 percent of shoppers are willing to share
information with retailers if
they get a discount on their next purchase and shoppers are more
willing to share information with high-end stores. Just remember
that Nieman Marcus has had their digital network hacked lately. When
will shopper rethink their privacy concerns?
Perhaps the
best approach to growing retail is to simply get back to the basics,
give the better service and attention to detail. In short, put the
customer first. I, myself, have quit patronizing stores which put the
self-checkout as a prima
facie of
customer service.
Relocation
Wal-Mart,
one of those big-box discount retailers, is in need of a
bricks-and-mortar makeover – or so some analysts have suggested.
The world's largest retailer gave a disappointing full-year forecast,
based upon its recent lackluster sales and the expected sharp cuts in
food stamp benefits or higher payroll taxes that will hit the
disposable income of its core customers. Cold weather and a
reduction in food stamp benefits can't the only reasons.
Analysts
have also called for Wal-Mart to move its stores closer to major
population centers, shrink the square footage of its superstores and
shutter about 100 under-performing U.S. locations. "It appears
increasingly uneconomic for the customer to drive 20 to 30 miles, or
even 20 to 30 minutes,
round trip to a supercenter to save a marginal amount on consumable
goods.
Apparently
Wal-Mart has listened. They have recently said that they are
doubling
the number of smaller new stores originally planned to open this
year. The smaller stores will allow the retailer to reach new
customers, particularly in urban
areas. This may also appeal to shoppers who want to pick up
groceries and other staples mid-week, as they need not go out to the
super-centers. Comparable sales at the smaller stores rose 5 percent
last quarter, compared to an overall 0.4 percent drop in the United
States. Wal-Mart now plans to open between 270 and 300 small stores
this fiscal year and is spending an extra $600 million to do so.
One in five
Wal-Mart shoppers relies on food stamps and by some accounts, that
may also apply to their employees. Last year's cuts to benefits
under the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program have been
particularly painful for Wal-Mart, both in their bottom line and in
the public relations field. How ironic it is that Wal-Mart helped
create the low-wage economy. The big box development model -- built
on cheap land on the edge of the community with taxpayers subsidizing
your hard costs of transportation and infrastructure.
As Edward McMahon
put it so clearly, “The two things that have kept Wal-Mart out of
cities were its inflexibility on design issues and opposition from
labor unions and civic activists who oppose the company because of
its low wages and negative impact on existing local businesses.
Now that it
appears that Wal-Mart is willing (when
pushed by local government)
to adapt its stores to the urban environment, it is likely only a
matter of time before the retail giant moves into cities all over the
country and cities that want good design are going to have to demand
it.
On December
4, 2013 Wal-Mart opened its first two stores in Washington, DC and
the new stores illustrate the lengths to which brick and mortar
retailers will go to get into rapidly growing urban markets. Having
the world’s largest retailer interested in locating in the city
where we’ve lost almost every other department store over the last
four decades — that is a good thing.
Target,
Whole Foods, Safeway, Giant, and other chains are also breaking the
old rules. Smaller buildings, stores in multi-story buildings or in
mixed use developments. The Euclid Kroger, for all of their hype, is
not breaking new ground.
In some ways, the idea of national chains opening big new urban stores is a return to the way things once were. In 1960, we called it department store. Today we call it a Walmart.
Edward McMahon
2 comments:
I'm probably not representative, but I'm not clear why anyone would want to physically go to a store to pick out most items. I can certainly understand for items that need a 'hands on' approach but virtual reality / augmented reality can at least take care of the visual portion of some of those things as well, and 3D printing can take care of some items at home.
Add to that that some changes really only happen in new generations of people; if you grew up shopping in a real store (which most shoppers today did), you might be more resistant to changing over to online shopping than younger people would be. I would love to see information on demographics -- what ages are shopping retail now? Are 12 year olds shopping retail as much as a decade ago?
I think brick-and-mortar retail will continue shrinking for some time. That will probably manifest as fewer, smaller stores.
I'm probably not representative, but I'm not clear why anyone would want to physically go to a store to pick out most items. I can certainly understand for items that need a 'hands on' approach but virtual reality / augmented reality can at least take care of the visual portion of some of those things as well, and 3D printing can take care of some items at home.
Add to that that some changes really only happen in new generations of people; if you grew up shopping in a real store (which most shoppers today did), you might be more resistant to changing over to online shopping than younger people would be. I would love to see information on demographics -- what ages are shopping retail now? Are 12 year olds shopping retail as much as a decade ago?
I think brick-and-mortar retail will continue shrinking for some time. That will probably manifest as fewer, smaller stores.
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